Fargo’s Free MLB Play – Houston Astros at Arizona Diamondbacks 7/22/2025
Houston took the series opener 6-3 to extend its AL West lead to five games. Despite being just two games over .500 on the road, the Astros are favored behind Framber Valdez, who has a 1.86 ERA over his last nine starts and has led Houston to 12 straight wins. However, his 3.60 xERA suggests regression, making this a contrarian spot. Arizona, one game under .500 and 5.5 games out of a Wild Card spot, had just swept St. Louis. Eduardo Rodriguez has been inconsistent, and while his recent ERA stretch looked strong, his 4.42 xERA signals positive progression. Play: Arizona Diamondbacks.
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