GamblersWORLD Week 9 NFL Line Moves

Week 9 Early NFL Line Moves

We have reached the midpoint of the NFL season. While every game isn’t critical for playoff contenders, they still need Ws. We take the temperature of NFL bettors who have moved the lines, and give you a report. Get the updates on Friday along with our free picks, on a 10-5 run!

Chicago Bears vs Cincinnati Bengals – Chicago +2.5, Total 52 | Sun, Nov 2 | 1:00 PM ET | CBS

Cincinnati’s embarrassing meltdown and home loss to the then-winless Jets has an impact on the side and total despite Chicago falling at Baltimore. We have explained all season, the look-ahead line makes it appear more dramatic. Nonetheless, the Bengals went from -1 to +2.5 against the Bears. The total shot up three points to 52. Cincy is likely to score and allow a lot of points, as they have most of the season when they had a true starting QB. This makes these two fascinating wagers.

Bet Percentage: Bengals 57% & OVER 98%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

San Francisco 49ers vs New York Giants – Total 49 | Sun, Nov 2 | 1:00 PM ET | CBS

Have to be honest, didn’t have this on the weekly radar for a totals movement. The opening total was 45.5, and it has jumped like kangaroo to 49. The loss of Cam Skatteboo doesn’t make the Giants’ offense better, so that doesn’t explain enough. The Big Blue defense is permitting almost 27 PPG, yet the San Francisco averages 20 PPG. The 49ers’ defensive injuries make them more vulnerable to points surrendered. However, are the G-Men truly able to exploit this? It’s noteworthy that the Niners are 8-1 OVER off one or more Overs.

Bet Percentage: OVER 95%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

Atlanta Falcons vs New England Patriots – New England -5.5 | Sun, Nov 2 | 1:00 PM ET | CBS

This is another line move heavily predicated on the performance of each squad last week. Atlanta was a four-quarter no-show at home against Miami, losing 34-10, making the Dolphins look like a playoff team of a few years ago. It wasn’t like Cleveland was heading to the postseason after dumping the Dolphins the week prior, still, New England clobbered Cleveland to send them on a 5-0 SU and ATS run. The Patriots were sent out as a reasonable -3 digit home choice and ballooned to -5.5. Is this a classic buy low, sell high spot?

Bet Percentage: Patriots 92%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers – Green Bay -13 | Sun, Nov 2 | 1:00 PM ET | CBS

Green Bay was ultra-impressive in a come-from-behind victory at Pittsburgh, their first in the Steel City since 1970. With Pack’s top showing and Carolina crushed at home by Buffalo, in a resounding way to end a 3-0 SU and ATS stretch, the line moved. The Packers began the week at a chalky -13, up considerably from -10.5. Though the Panthers QB Bryce Young has played better in his third season, Carolina is still #29 in passing yards. If Green Bay jumps to an early 13-0 lead at Lambeau, can Young actually lead a comeback?

Bet Percentage: Packers 96%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans – Los Angeles -10 | Sun, Nov 2 | 1:00 PM ET | CBS

If you have seen the Chargers, they have as many different uniform combinations as ways they play. Sometimes the unis don’t look great, and neither does how the Bolts are playing. Other times, the uniform combo works, looks sharp, and so do the Chargers. There is little doubt Justin Herbert and company can handle a -10 point spread (was -8) at Tennessee, but will they? Understand this: Road favorites of 3.5 to 10 points, after allowing three points or less in the first half of the last game, against an opponent who just scored 14 points or less in the previous game, are 7-28 ATS.

Bet Percentage: Chargers 93%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

Get more NFL and college football line moves, free picks, and betting advice from Doug Upstone here and purchase Doug’s Premium picks here.