Week 9 College Football Betting Line Moves and Sharp Action
The last full weekend of October arrives, and we have the biggest Lines Moves in college football early in the week. Make sure to head back this way on Friday for our Free Picks that were 5-1 last Saturday.
CFB – (133) Boston College at (134) Louisville -25.5
Saturday, Oct. 25 – 7:30 p.m. ET /ACCN
It is not an overreaction for Louisville to be pumped up from -23 to -25.5 point home favorites over Boston College. The Cardinals put their cards in the middle of the table at Miami and went – all in – early to build a 14-0 lead and made it hold against the previously unbeaten Hurricanes. The Eagles are 1-6 (2-5 ATS) and are being outscored by 21.5 PPG in conference action. The only real question is the mental state of the ‘Ville, will they be focused enough to cover this chalky spread?
Bet Percentage: Louisville 97%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
CFB – (135) Stanford at (136) Miami-FL Total 45
Saturday, Oct. 25 – 7:00 p.m. ET /ESPN
One thing nobody was counting on for this ACC encounter was that Stanford would be coming to South Florida off a win and Miami would have suffered a loss last week. The focus on this early is on the total, which has dropped dramatically by three points to 45. Based on the latest bet percentages, sharp money is forecasting the Cardinal won’t post many points with the Canes a 30-point favorite. That makes the approximate score 37.5 to 7.5, which is not far-fetched.
Bet Percentage: OVER 88%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
CFB – (151) Ohio U. at (152) Eastern Michigan +12.5
Saturday, Oct. 25 – 12:00 p.m. ET /CBSSN
There are still three remaining unbeaten teams in the MAC. Ohio U. at 2-1 is on the next rung down, and the Bobcats will have a shot at all three of them in the weeks ahead. The first order of business for Ohio U. is ousting Eastern Michigan on the road. The Bobcats were listed as 10-point favorites. That is now up to -12.5, with the Eagles playing a seventh straight week. EMU has struggled with the Bobcats, 1-9 and 2-8 ATS recently. However, they have covered four of six and could push Ohio U. if they are not ready to play.
Bet Percentage: Ohio U. 96%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

CFB – (173) Utah at (174) Colorado +13.5
Saturday, Oct. 25 – 10:15 p.m. ET /ESPN
After losing a second conference game, Utah has to win out and needs help to get back into the Big 12 title game conversation. It was known going in, it could be like last year, when a tiebreaker was necessary to choose between four 7-2 contestants. The Utes’ defense has proven somewhat overrated, and they are not getting enough from the QB position when facing better opponents. While Utah is receiving public support, they are down to -13.5 from -15.5 at Boulder. Keep in mind the Buffaloes are 10-1 ATS at home playing against a team with a winning record.
Bet Percentage: Utah 90%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
CFB – (195) Illinois at (196) Washington Total 57
Saturday, Oct. 25 – 3:30 p.m. ET /BTN
Both these Big Ten partners can score, averaging just over 34 PPG. Their offenses struggled against better competition, but neither defense fits into the – elite – category. Football bettors did not see eye to eye with the oddsmakers, lowering the total a couple of points to 55. Washington has shown the better defense at 20.4 PPG allowed compared to 25.4 PPG for the Fighting Illini. A look at a group of trusted simulators has the matchup at 58 to 59 points, more agreeing with the sportsbook’s original release. Let’s see what this looks like on Friday.
Bet Percentage: UNDER 64%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday