GamblersWORLD Week 8 NFL Line Moves
Just like last week, we have not only Line Moves on side and totals, but a trio of games that have movement on both aspects in the same contest. Why, it might have to do with lookahead lines being less accurate until the next games are played. Regardless, return for our updates and know our Free Picks have gone 5-3 in two of the past three weeks.
N.Y. Jets vs Cincinnati Bengals – Cincinnati -6.5 | Sun, Oct 26 | 1:00 PM ET | CBS
What a difference a week makes! Cincinnati trades for Joe Flacco to throw to his amazing receivers, and they upset Pittsburgh. The New York
Jets defense has conceded 26 total points in their last two games, but the offense has 17 in that span. Flyboys is the wrong term to describe this 0-7 team, which has more rushing yards (179) than passing yards (149) in the last two weeks. Gang Green has grown from +2.5 to +6.5 road underdogs. New York has taken the total with them, up two points to 44.5. The Bengals are 31st in points and yards allowed. Yet, who is comfortable backing either side or the total to begin the week?
Bet Percentage: Bengals 96% and UNDER 91%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
San Francisco 49ers vs Houston Texans – Pick’em | Sun, Oct 26 | 1:00 PM ET | FOX
For NFL bettors who have not gotten a good look at just how bad Houston’s offensive line is, this past Monday proved what a lot of us already knew: the Texans’ O-Line is one of the worst in the league. San Francisco has an ark full of injuries on both sides of the ball; nonetheless, San Francisco has tumbled from +2 to a Pick for Pick in Houston. The total has also gone south, currently positioned at 41.5 after beginning at 43.5. Houston’s season could be about over with another ‘L’. With QB C.J. Stroud under as much duress as a special forces operative, where do the Texans turn? Let’s see if the bet percentage matches the totals direction later in the week.
Bet Percentage: 49ers 94% and OVER 79%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
Buffalo Bills vs Carolina Panthers – Total 45.5 | Sun, Oct 26 | 1:00 PM ET | FOX
With Bryce Young out at quarterback because of injury, veteran Andy Dalton steps in for Carolina. The fascinating impact of this for betting purposes is that the point spread has not moved (7), but the total collapsed from 48.5 to 45.5. The thinking is that Dalton won’t impact the side, but fewer points are likely. Interesting right? Raise your hand (be honest) if you had Buffalo off two losses (0-3 ATS) coming to Charlotte and the Panthers on a 3-0 SU and ATS surge?
Bet Percentage: UNDER 90%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts – Indianapolis -14 | Sun, Oct 26 | 4:25 PM ET | CBS
Though it’s a division game, Tennessee at Indianapolis has blowout written all over it. The Titans were sent out as chalky +12 underdogs. They were then bumped to +14, and don’t be shocked if that number rises. The Colts are #2 in points tallied, with Tennessee coming in at #31. The defensive numbers are closer, but not by a lot. The Titans are #28 in digits surrendered, with Indy #9. Tennessee is 1-10 ATS, having lost two out of their last three games, falling by 13.2 PPG, leaving a tricky decision.
Bet Percentage: Colts 96%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
Dallas Cowboys vs Denver Broncos – Denver -3.5 | Sun, Oct 26 | 4:25 PM ET | CBS
Dallas won’t win a Super Bowl this year, but they are sure fun to watch. Dak Prescott and the Cowboys have the #2 scoring offense in the NFL. Sure, the defense is #30 in points allowed, but if you score one more than you give up, that’s a win. Ask Denver about that, after just skating by with a 33-point fourth quarter after being held scoreless for 45 minutes. The Boys have slid from +5 to +3.5 at a Mile High, with the total jumping like Saquon Barkley over another player, from 47 to 50. This is intriguing!
Bet Percentage: Cowboys 63% and OVER 96%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
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