GamblersWORLD Week 7 College Football Odds, Updates and Free Picks

Week 7 College Football Odds, Updates and Free Picks

The college football weekend has arrived, and we have updates and free picks from our Line Moves article earlier this week. The free picks are coming off a 5-3 week.

CFB – (161) Alabama at (162) Missouri +3
Saturday, Oct. 11 – 12:00 p.m. ET /ABC

Read the previous article this week here.

Alabama had to work extremely hard to get a lucky cover at home against Vanderbilt last week. Missouri will be fresher off a bye week and in Columbia, and the Tigers were reduced two points to -3 for this SEC showdown. Besides the rest angle in Mizzou’s favor, Bama has conceded 362 total rushing yards the last two weeks, and Missouri is #3 nationally in rushing. Update: The betting public is satisfied with this line at 3. At +5, a case can be made for the Tigers. At this number, Alabama has edges they can utilize on the field to win by seven points.

Bet Percentage: Previously Alabama 64%, now 70%

Doug’s Pick – Alabama covers

CFB – (185) Stanford at (186) SMU -19.5
Saturday, Oct. 11 – 12:00 p.m. ET /CW Network

Stanford is a weak club. SMU has superior speed to the plodding Cardinal, making this reason enough for football bettors to push the Mustangs from 17.5 to 19.5. The SMU defense is not as strong as last year’s playoff team, but going up against the #124-rated run offense will help. The Cardinal pass offense can be productive, and they will have a chance to beat the spread with the Ponies dead last in FBS passing yards allowed. Update: There were reservations about SMU’s pass defense, and they have slid back to -18.5. The Mustangs’ speed should lead to bigger plays, forcing Stanford to play from behind, something they are not built for.

Bet Percentage: Previously SMU 95%, now 67%

Doug’s Pick – Lean SMU covers

CFB – (197) Indiana at (198) Oregon  -7.5
Saturday, Oct. 11 – 3:30 p.m. ET /CBS

For this anticipated Big Ten battle, it looks like sharp money has moved Indiana from +9.5 to +7.5. The bet percentage definitely favors Oregon early in the week, Each team has ample speed; however, if you have not seen them play, they are surprisingly physical outfits, given their recent past. Update: It is still mostly Ducks money, but wise guy action has pushed this number to a touchdown at -7. The threat of rain appears to impact the total, which dropped from 56 to 53.5. Indiana has struggled with top competition, and Oregon is a wagon at home. With the Ducks 5-0 ATS against teams averaging 200 or more rushing yards, we’ll say they waddle to a cover, and we’re backing the OVER unless the wind is blowing.

Bet Percentage: Previously Oregon 70%, still 70%, UNDER 61%

Doug’s Pick – Oregon covers and OVER

CFB – (207) San Jose State at (208) Wyoming  +2.5
Saturday, Oct. 11 – 7:00 p.m. ET /CBSSN

Each of these MWC teams is mildly disappointing to this point at 2-3. The visiting Spartans have a bunch of money backing them, lifted from a Pick to -2.5 over the Cowboys. Wyoming, for years, was a stellar bet at home, but as the talent decreased, so has the home field edge. The Spartans are on a 6-1 and 5-2 STS run in this series. Update: A slight buyback on the Cowboys to +2 in the MWC matchup. As long as it’s not snowing again in Laramie like last Saturday, San Jose State has the better offense and should squeak out a win and spread winner.

Bet Percentage: Previously San Jose State 93%, now 71%

Doug’s Pick – San Jose State covers

CFB – (209) Purdue at (210) Minnesota -7.5
Saturday, Oct. 11 – 7:30 p.m. ET /BTN

Despite overwhelming support for the Gophers, they were moved from -10 to -7.5. The Boilermakers move the ball up and down the field, but seven miscues in the losing streak have curtailed their effectiveness. Minnesota plays the same as they have the last several years, good enough to reach .500. Update: The line drop caught up with money, making the Boilermakers the public choice. Nonetheless, the line has been unmoved since Tuesday. Going back to 2023, Purdue is 2-13 ATS off two consecutive games where they forced one or fewer turnovers.

Bet Percentage: Previously Minnesota 96%, now Purdue 70%

Doug’s Pick – Minnesota covers

CFB Top 5 Money ATS Bets (Highest in order) (14-15-1 record): Utah, Army, Texas Tech, Utah State and Old Dominion

CFB Top 5 Money Totals Bets (Highest in order) (14-17 record): Houston/Oklahoma State OVER, Washington St./Ole Miss OVER, Virginia Tech/Georgia Tech UNDER, South Carolina/LSU OVER and UCF/Cincnnati OVER

Get more college football betting advice from Doug Upstone here and purchase Doug’s Premium picks here.