GamblersWORLD Week 7 College Football Line Moves

Week 7 College Football Betting Line Moves and Sharp Action

This is the first week where the lines are tighter in college football on sides and totals. It happens every year around this time as the oddsmakers have a good feel, with bettors agreeing. Return on Friday for our free picks coming off a 5-3 week.

CFB – (161) Alabama at (162) Missouri +3
Saturday, Oct. 11 – 12:00 p.m. ET /ABC

Alabama had to work extremely hard to get a lucky cover at home against Vanderbilt last week. Nonetheless, the Crimson Tide’s loss has mostly been forgotten versus Florida State, as they are rolling. Missouri will be fresher off a bye week and in Columbia, and the Tigers were reduced two points to -3 for this SEC showdown. Besides the rest angle in Mizzou’s favor, Bama has conceded 362 total rushing yards the last two weeks, and Missouri is #3 nationally in rushing.

Bet Percentage: Alabama 64%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

CFB – (185) Stanford at (186) SMU -19.5
Saturday, Oct. 11 – 12:00 p.m. ET /CW Network

Stanford is a weak club, yet it has won twice at home, but is 0-3 on the road. SMU has superior speed to the plodding Cardinal, making this reason enough for football bettors to push the Mustangs from 17.5 to 19.5. The SMU defense is not as strong as last year’s playoff team, but going up against the #124-rated run offense will help. The Cardinal pass offense can be productive, and they will have a chance to beat the spread with the Ponies dead last in FBS passing yards allowed (323 per game).

Bet Percentage: SMU 95%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

CFB – (197) Indiana at (198) Oregon  -7.5
Saturday, Oct. 11 – 3:30 p.m. ET /CBS

For this anticipated Big Ten battle, it looks like sharp money has moved Indiana from +9.5 to +7.5. The bet percentage definitely favors Oregon early in the week, making it interesting to follow what happens as the week moves along. Each team has ample speed; however, if you have not seen them play, they are surprisingly physical outfits, given their recent past. Will more expected Ducks money arrive by the weekend to push Oregon closer to its original number?

Bet Percentage: Oregon 70%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

CFB – (207) San Jose State at (208) Wyoming  +2.5
Saturday, Oct. 11 – 7:00 p.m. ET /CBSSN

Each of these MWC teams is mildly disappointing to this point at 2-3. San Jose State’s first loss was to Central Michigan as 14-point home favorites, which got the season off to a rocky start. Wyoming is 0-3 SU and ATS in their past trio of starts; however, they were underdogs in those situations. The visiting Spartans have a bunch of money backing them, lifted from a Pick to -2.5 over the Cowboys. Wyoming, for years, was a stellar bet at home, but as the talent decreased, so has the home field edge. The Spartans are on a 6-1 and 5-2 STS run in this series.

Bet Percentage: San Jose State 93%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

CFB – (209) Purdue at (210) Minnesota -7.5
Saturday, Oct. 11 – 7:30 p.m. ET /BTN

Purdue has lost three in a row, yet gets a pass of sorts because all three were ranked in USC, Notre Dame, and Illinois. Minnesota is on a 0-3 ATS downturn. The Golden Gophers were unexpected losers at Cal, beat Rutgers by just three at home, and were manhandled at Columbus. Despite overwhelming support for the Gophers, they were moved from -10 to -7.5. The Boilermakers move the ball up and down the field, but seven miscues in the losing streak have curtailed their effectiveness. Minnesota plays the same as they have the last several years, good enough to reach .500.

Bet Percentage: Minnesota 96%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

Get more college football betting advice from Doug Upstone here and purchase Doug’s Premium picks here.