GamblersWORLD Week 6 College Football Line Moves

Week 6 College Football Line Moves

We move ahead to October as conference play really commences. Our research uncovers some interesting line moves for this week.

CFB – (315) Oregon St. at (316) Appalachian St.  +1.5
Saturday, Oct. 4 – 3:30 p.m. ET /ESPN+

When most of the Pac-12 members left for the loot, Oregon State was among those not invited to receive the pot of gold. That left the Beavers scrambling to make new schedules, which led to a very long trip to West Virginia this week.  Both programs are struggling and need a win to turn their season around. Despite an 0-5 record for Oregon State, they were switched from +1.5 to -1.5 against the Mountaineers. For the Beavers to win, they will have to dam up the defense, which is permitting 36.6 PPG. The early bet percentage suggests that it will be hard to do.

Bet Percentage: App. State 78%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

CFB – (327) Iowa State at (328) Cincinnati -1.5, Total 54
Saturday, Oct. 4 – 12:00 p.m. ET /ESPN2

Both these Big 12 partners are off impressive victories, with Iowa State ambushing Arizona and Cincinnati sliding by Kansas on the road for the upset. The Bearcats were flipped from +1.5 to -1.5 home favorites with the total leaping from 50.5 to 54. The total climbing that much suggests Cincy would carry the pace of play, as they average 39.5 PPG. However, the Cyclones only allow 14.2 PPG, making this a fascinating encounter.

Bet Percentage: Cincinnati 69%, OVER 89%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

CFB – (347) Eastern Michigan at (348) Buffalo -10, Total 51
Saturday, Oct. 4. – 3:30 p.m. ET /ESPN+

Buffalo is off two straight losses, yet has risen to -10 (from -7.5) versus fellow MAC member Eastern Michigan. The Eagles are 1-4 compared to the Bulls at 2-3. The difference between these clubs is in defense. Eastern Michigan concedes 36.6 PPG compared to Buffalo at 19.6 PPG. Each offense scores a mere 24 PPG; thus, football bettors are forecasting the home team will have more success in scoring. That is backed up by the total lifted from 48 to 51.

Bet Percentage: Buffalo 84%, OVER 90%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

CFB – (375) Vanderbilt at (376) Alabama -10.5
Saturday, Oct. 4 – 3:30 p.m. ET /ABC

Off Alabama’s impressive win at Georgia, who would have thought the Crimson Tide would tumble as favorites by three points to -10.5 against Vanderbilt? Granted, the Commodores are 5-0, averaging 49 PPG and winning by nearly 32 PPG. Some might find Bama a bit flat after its win in Athens. But all Coach DeBoer has to remind his players is that they lost in Nashville 40-35 last year. Or is Vandy just that good and deserves the respect they are being given?

Bet Percentage: Alabama 72%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

CFB – (391) Boise State at (392) Notre Dame -20
Saturday, Oct. 4 – 3:30 p.m. ET /NBC

Notre Dame might only be .500 one-third through their season, but they were pounded from -17.5 to -20.5 point home favorites. The Fighting Irish have tallied 152 points in their last three outings, finding the endzone in a multitude of ways. However, Boise State has things rolling since their stunning blowout opening loss to South Florida, averaging 49 PPG themselves. The question to determine is whether Notre Dame’s defense is good enough to cover almost three touchdowns.

Bet Percentage: Notre Dame 81%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

Get more college football betting advice from Doug Upstone here and purchase Doug’s Premium picks here.