Week 15 NFL Line Moves
What is going on? This week has the biggest and greatest number of Line Moves this season! In this writer’s years of doing this, I’ve never seen a week with this many games this late in the season. We added an extra game because we have So Many! Return on Friday for all the free picks, which are a sizzling 31-16!
Arizona at Houston – Spread -9.5 | Sun, Dec 14 | 1:00 PM ET | FOX
Houston moving two points to -9.5 is two reasons. One, they beat the Chiefs at Kansas City, and second, everyone has taken notice
that the Texans are 8-5 after a 0-3 start. Additionally, it helps that Arizona has lost five in a row and 10 of 11. With only Las Vegas up next, Houston should have their full attention on trying to catch Jacksonville in the AFC South.
Bet Percentage: Texans 94%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
Las Vegas at Philadelphia – Spread -10.5 | Sun, Dec 14 | 1:00 PM ET | FOX
Philadelphia has dropped three in a row and is looking at being the #3 seed in the NFC. The Eagles’ issues are deeper than surface value, and this is starting to look the same as two years ago, the season after they won a Super Bowl. It’s not good when you are a falling home favorite against an outfit as bad as Las Vegas. Philly is down two digits to -10.5. Maybe it’s the Raiders coming back with Kenny Pickett against his former team. (That’s enough laughing.)
Bet Percentage: Eagles 63%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
N.Y. Jets at Jacksonville – Spread -12.5 | Sun, Dec 14 | 1:00 PM ET | CBS
After beating the Chiefs early, before we knew for certain they were not a playoff team, Jacksonville went on to lose three of four. Completely blowing the game at Houston, forced the Jaguars’ hand, grow up or cower away. Jacksonville is on a 4-0 SU, and ATS is playing with confidence and swagger. With this in mind, the Jags have risen from -9.5 to -12 over the Jets. But ask yourself, are you giving that many points knowing Jacksonville’s history?
Bet Percentage: Jaguars 85%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

Buffalo at New England – Total 49.5 | Sun, Dec 14 | 1:00 PM ET | CBS
Buffalo has not lost the division yet to New England, but it could be over after this week. Off the Bills’ wild 39-35 win over Cincinnati in snowy conditions, they head east. New England will come in rested after its late bye week, while averaging 28.5 PPG in its past four contests. Given both clubs’ scoring potential and the Bills’ defense, the total climbed to points to 49.5. Do you consider the Patriots are 8-1 OVER at home versus defenses allowing 4.5 or more rushing yards a carry?
Bet Percentage: OVER 53%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
L.A. Chargers at Kansas City – Total 41.5 | Sun, Dec 14 | 1:00 PM ET | CBS
For Chiefs fans and backers, the worst fears were confirmed in losing at home to Houston. Kansas City can play with anybody; they just no longer find ways to win or discover ways to lose. The Chargers are finally ahead of K.C. late in the season, but now Denver has passed the Bolts. The total in this AFC West affair has plummeted from 44.5 to 41.5. These combatants are recently 5-1-1 UNDER, will that continue?
Bet Percentage: UNDER 92%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
Detroit at L.A. Rams – Total 55 | Sun, Dec 14 | 4:25 PM ET | FOX
If you were thinking of wagering the Over on this NFC clash, you still can, but the value aspect is wiped out. This total hopped from 51 to 55 points. These are two of the top four scoring teams in the NFL, with the Lions 1st and the Rams 4th. Detroit’s defense is suspect after permitting almost 30 PPG the last three weeks.
Bet Percentage: OVER 85%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday








