Week 13 College Football Odds, Updates and Free Picks
Another fascinating week of Line Moves, and we are back with all the updates along with Free Picks (16-10 run)! Also, check our top betting public picks, which are a miserable 6-24!
CFB – (119) Rutgers at (120) Ohio State -31.5
Saturday, Nov. 22 – 12:00 p.m. ET /FOX
Coming off a 48-10 home blowout over UCLA to cover a point spread of -33, it was at least eyebrow-raising to see Ohio State slide
two points to -31.5 against visiting Rutgers. We can pretty much rest assured that the Scarlet Knights have almost nothing to do with the spread moving. More likely, the belief would be that the Buckeyes are saving their energy for Michigan next week. Update: The Buckeyes lifted back up to -33 was expected, but the bet percentage exactly even? Didn’t expect that on the betting menu. We were not counting on the happening. Not sure we will see a great effort from Ohio State. And with Rutgers 16-8 ATS as road underdogs, they lose by 30 to cover.
Bet Percentage: Previously Ohio State 89%, now 50-50
Doug’s Pick – Lean Rutgers
CFB – (131) Old Dominion at (132) Georgia Southern +12.5
Saturday, Nov. 22 – 1:00 p.m. ET /ESPN+
At 5-5, Georgia Southern needs a victory to become bowl eligible. It probably won’t be easy to accomplish, something even college football bettors can get behind. The Eagles have flown from +10 to +12.5 against Old Dominion. After getting steamrolled by James Madison 63-27, ODU has won three in a row. Georgia Southern permits 34.6 PPG and 466 yards a game. Update: The line shifted toward the home team, with the Eagles sitting at +12. No doubt ODU is the better club, but we are expecting a competitive effort from Georgia Southern, with the total at 62.5, as they are 12-1 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63.
Bet Percentage: Previously Old Dominion 97%, now 84%
Doug’s Pick – Georgia Southern covers
CFB – (139) Washington State at (140) James Madison, Total 43
Saturday, Nov. 22 – 1:00 p.m. ET /ESPN+
Seeing the total slipping from 45.5 to 43 in this nonconference clash, some might think James Madison could score 45 points themselves. However, the Cougars, long known for quarterback play and scoring, are at merely 20.7 PPG. Normally, a team like James Madison would use this as a tune-up game for what lies ahead in the Sun Belt, but at 9-1, the Dukes have a real shot at making the College Playoffs if they win out. JMU can limit Wazzou’s offense, but the Cougars are only allowing 21 PPG. Update: The total hasn’t budged in spite of a complete reversal of where the money has gone. We are certain James Madison comes to play, just not as sure about Washington State. Look for the total to land in the upper 40s and possibly higher.
Bet Percentage: Previously UNDER 79%, now OVER 89%
Doug’s Pick – Play OVER
CFB – (155) Missouri at (156) Oklahoma -7.5
Saturday, Nov. 22 – 12:00 p.m. ET /ABC
Off road upsets of Tennessee and Alabama, it is stunning to see Oklahoma slip from -9.5 point home favorites to -7.5. Nonetheless, two considerations to ponder. In the Sooners’ pair of upsets, they were outgained 862-562. Missouri lost its starting quarterback Beau Pribula, which limited its offense. Yet, in what should be a titanic battle to watch, the Tigers’ #6 run offense will go up against the Sooners’ #4 run defense. Update: With Pribula upgraded to – questionable – for this matchup, Oklahoma has been lowered to +6.5. Though we like Pribula, he plays better at home and against weaker defenses. With this showdown in Norman and losing betting value, we’ll side with where the money is going.
Bet Percentage: Previously Missouri 65%, now Oklahoma 77%
Doug’s Pick – Oklahoma covers
CFB – (171) California at (172) Stanford Total 47
Saturday, Nov. 22 –7:30 p.m. ET /ACCN
With neither offense having much punch, the total has tipped from 49.5 to 47. One could think the total descending could be because the teams will run and not pass much. Nope. These are the next-to-last (Stanford) and third-to-last (Cal) rushing offenses in the country. Each relies on a dink and dunk pass approach, without a running game, leading to many stalled drives without points. Update: A higher score is now the betting choice; however, it’s public money because the total remained stagnant. We like the original line move for – The Big Game – knowing the Golden Bears are 10-2 UNDER in away games off a win against a conference rival.
Bet Percentage: Previously Under 96%, now OVER 67%
Doug’s Pick – Play UNDER
CFB Top 5 Money ATS Bets (Highest in order) (24-35-2 record): California, San Diego State, BYU, James Madison and Wake Forest
CFB Top 5 Money Totals Bets (Highest in order) (23-37 record): BYU/Cincinnati OVER, Washington/UCLA OVER, Rutgers/Ohio State OVER, Arkansas/Texas OVER and Kentucky/Vanderbilt OVER
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