GamblersWORLD Week 11 NFL Line Moves

Week 11 NFL Line Moves

The unpredictable madness of the NFL continues with Week 11. We have dug up the beginning of the week Line Moves for pro football this upcoming Sunday. You will want to return for our free picks on Friday, which are on a 19-7 run!

Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders – Miami -3 | Sun, Nov 16 | 9:30 AM ET | NFLN

It was not a shocker that Washington was manhandled by Detroit last Sunday. What was, watching Miami beating up on Buffalo one week after they looked Super Bowl ready in knocking off Kansas City. Here is what to question: was it the Commanders’ performance, the Dolphins’ effort, or a combination of both that sent Miami from a Pick to -3? Or do the Fins players have a more a palate for food from Spain? The Washington defense has used 11 players the past two weeks who don’t seem to enjoy football. Miami? Who knows. Let’s watch the line this week on this nonconference clash.

Bet Percentage: Dolphins 95%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills – Total 48 | Sun, Nov 16 | 1:00 PM ET | CBS

When you think of Josh Allen and Baker Mayfield, what comes to mind is players imposing their will on their respective teams to score points and win games. Yet, the total has shrunk from 50.5 to 48 points. What gives? In each team’s past four outings, the average total score of the Buccaneers contest is just under 40 points, with the Bills at below 45. Each offense has sputtered, and stopping the run has been a conundrum, which means fewer offensive snaps. Do NFL bettors have this one spotted correctly?

Bet Percentage: UNDER 69%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers – Total 48.5 | Sun, Nov 16 | 1:00 PM ET | CBS

It would appear that if there is one defense that could help the Pittsburgh offense, it’s Cincinnati. The Bengals are last in points allowed and total defense. While bye week can often help teams, if you have seen the Cincy defense, a school crossing guard gets more stops. With Joe Flacco having the Bengals offense humming and facing Pittsburgh’s #32 pass defense, the total dipping from 50 to 48.5 is a head-scratcher. However, it is widely supported by the wagering public to start the week.

Bet Percentage: UNDER 93%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings – Total 49 | Sun, Nov 16 | 1:00 PM ET | FOX

With Chicago conceding 27.4 PPG on the year, which jumps to 34.4 PPG away from the Windy City, that could help Minnesota’s unreliable offense. Though the Vikings are known for their pressure defense, they also surrender an ample amount of big plays and have given up 29 PPG the past four times they have taken the field. Add this up, and the total rises like the Viatris Corp. stock price from 47 to 49. This is highly unusual for these NFC North combatants, as it’s been more than a decade with an opening total this high.

Bet Percentage: OVER 94%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

Los Angeles Chargers vs Jacksonville Jaguars – Los Angeles -3 | Sun, Nov 16 | 1:00 PM ET | CBS

The Chargers are 7-3, one game behind Denver despite having lost to All-Pro quality offensive tackles and other O-Line maladies. We’re all old enough to remember when Jacksonville beat Kansas City five games ago, and it appeared the Jaguars were FINALLY going to take off. Instead, Jacksonville is 1-3 and 0-3-1 ATS and just lost a 19-point lead in the fourth quarter at Houston, the franchise’s first-ever loss with that large a lead. When you throw this in the blender, the Bolts go from a Pick in North Florida to -3. Will this number hold up? Probably not, so check back Friday to find out.

Bet Percentage: Chargers 85%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

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