GamblersWORLD Week 11 College Football Line Moves

Week 11 College Football Line Moves

There are four weeks left in the regular season. Here is a preview of the biggest early Line Moves in college football this week.  Return on Friday to check out our Free Picks at 10-6 the past 3 weeks.

CFB – (145) Indiana at (146) Penn State -15
Saturday, Nov. 8 – 12:00 p.m. ET /FOX

Given the current state of these two Big Ten teams, the biggest surprise is that Indiana didn’t open up at least as a two-touchdown road favorite. That might have had something to do with the look-ahead line, because after the Hoosiers blasted Maryland and Penn State was manhandled at Ohio State, especially in the second half, not sure how the Nittany Lions stay ahead of the adjusted line of +13 to +15 for the home team. Indiana is winning conference games by 32.4 PPG and in the role of a visitor, by 20 PPG.

Bet Percentage: Indiana 88%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

CFB – (179) Kansas at (180) Arizona -4.5
Saturday, Nov. 8 – 3:30 p.m. ET /ESPN2

Despite Arizona crushing Colorado last week, the Wildcats have slid two points to -4.5 in a home clash with Kansas. As to why this occurred, one reason might be that the Jayhawks are 8-1 ATS in away games in the second half of the season since 2023. Another is that Arizona is 1-8 ATS facing winning teams. In the Wildcats’ favor, overall, they have the better offense and defense, so let’s see what this line looks like closer to game time.

Bet Percentage: Arizona 58%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

CFB – (193) Southern Miss at (194) Arkansas St. Total 56
Saturday, Nov. 8 – 12:00 p.m. ET /ESPNU

This is an important contest in the Sun Belt West. Southern Miss is 4-0, with Arkansas State (and Troy) 4-1. The Red Wolves handed Troy their first setback last week and have reeled off four victories in a row, and would control its destiny with another W. Southern Miss would be in a somewhat similar spot, owning a tie-breaker between these two foes and having a home date with the Trojans. The betting focus is on the total with the biggest adjustment in the early week, from 59 to 56. Each team has conceded 21 to 22 PPG in SBC play; however, the Golden Eagles have a large edge in offense (35 PPG vs 23 PPG). No telling points between these rivals, with the total split in the last half dozen matchups.

Bet Percentage: 96% UNDER

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

CFB – (199) Navy at (200) Notre Dame -26.5
Saturday, Nov. 8 – 7:30 p.m. ET /NBC

The Navy suffered its first defeat of the season at North Texas last Saturday and has its annual affair against Notre Dame next. The Fighting Irish are off a flat showing at Boston College and are up two points to -26.5 chalk-laden points in South Bend. The Midshipmen are #1 in rushing in the land at 317 yards a game and can control the clock and limit possessions. The Navy is 7-3 ATS at South Bend in the last two decades. Despite a low bet percentage, influential bettors see Notre Dame’s #25 in passing and the Middies at #111 stopping the pass, thinking big plays will lead to Irish points.

Bet Percentage: Notre Dame 54%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

CFB – (203) San Diego State at (204) Hawai’i  -7
Saturday, Nov. 8 –11:00 p.m. ET /

San Diego State sits at the top of the Mountain West at 4-0 and 7-1 in all games. The Aztecs are only permitting 10 PPG (#2 nationally) and seemed equipped to slow the Rainbow Warriors’ #7 passing offense, listed #9 against the forward pass. San Diego State wants to run the ball and use a controlled passing attack that milks the clock, often leaving the opposition with poor field position. All this has led the Aztecs to rise from -4.5 to -7 road favorites.

Bet Percentage: San Diego State 92%

Doug’s Pick – Back Friday

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