Week 10 College Football Line Moves
It is full speed ahead into November in college football, the month that separates the best from the rest. With this, we have the early week Line Moves to start a new month, and it’s more on totals than sides. Make a point to return Friday for Free Picks, at 7-4 the past two weeks.
CFB – (325) Oklahoma at (326) Tennessee Total 57
Saturday, Nov. 1 – 7:30 p.m. ET /ABC
Sooners coach Brent Venables said last week Ole Miss would show just how good the Oklahoma defense was, after being ranked in the Top 3
all season. Giving up 34 points and 431 yards to the Rebels was not a sign of greatness. Next up for Oklahoma is a trip to Knoxville to take on Tennessee, which is #2 in scoring (45.6 PPG) and #3 in total offense. The Vols are permitting 34 PPG in SEC action, which should help the Sooners’ offense, which has not blossomed under QB John Mateer, having not surpassed 225 passing in four outings. Regardless, the total is up to 57 from 55.
Bet Percentage: OVER 95%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
CFB – (329) Duke at (330) Clemson Total 55.5
Saturday, Nov. 1 – 12:00 p.m. ET /ACCN
It’s November, and Clemson still needs three victories to become bowl eligible, after being regarded as national championship material. Duke is only 4-3, but is one of several one-loss teams in the ACC and has to win out to have even a chance at reaching the conference title tilt. Among the many disappointments about the Tigers is their inability to make key stops in close games. Duke’s defense will make dynamic plays, but it has a lot of holes in their pass defense, ranked #105. The total climbing two points to 55.5 explains the issues for both stop troops.
Bet Percentage: OVER 97%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
CFB – (383) Kentucky at (384) Auburn Total 45
Saturday, Nov. 1 – 7:30 p.m. ET /SECN
Two limited offenses broke out last week, as Kentucky and Auburn reached or surpassed 33 points. Even with the outbreak, for the season, each is below 25 PPG and has limitations. Football bettors are expecting a return to normality, with the total sinking from 47 to 45. These SEC teams have not met each other often, just three times since 2011, but a lower score remains possible with the Tigers 11-2 UNDER after one or more consecutive straight-up wins.
Bet Percentage: UNDER 98%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
CFB – (387) Navy at (388) North Texas, Total 65.5
Saturday, Nov. 1 – 12:00 p.m. ET /ESPN2
The Navy is a perfect 7-0. They put that on the line against North Texas, which is 7-1, leading the nation in scoring at 46.1 PPG. This affair has major implications in the American Conference, with the Midshipmen one of two unbeatens in league play. The Mean Green has only one American setback and moves back in the conference title game conversation with a victory. As good as North Texas is at lighting up the scoreboard, the Middies are at 37.1 PPG, #16. You can imagine what the total did. Yup, it rose from 63.3 to 65.5. With each defense vulnerable, the first one to 40 could be the winner!
Bet Percentage: 98% OVER
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
CFB – (389) Old Dominion at (390) UL-Monroe +17
Saturday, Nov. 1 – 3:30 p.m. ET /ESPN+
After hot starts in 2025, each of these Sun Belt squads has cooled like a November evening in the South. Old Dominion has lost two of three and is on a 0-3 ATS move. UL-Monroe has returned to its usual doldrums, on a 0-4 SU and ATS skid. What has killed both these Sun Belt’ers is nine turnovers in their past 12 quarters. This has led to fewer scoring chances and providing them for the competition. Nonetheless, the upside is still believed with the Monarchs, and they’ve been juiced from -14.5 to -17. It makes sense with UL-Monroe 0-6 ATS after two or more consecutive straight-up losses.
Bet Percentage: Old Dominion 97%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
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