Baseball Bytes – MLB Betting Info and Tips – July 11, 2025

MLB Betting Info and Tips – July 11, 2025

What’s Wrong with the Dodgers?

The team with the largest payroll in baseball was supposed to glide through the regular season with sportsbooks posting a win total of 103.5. Coming off a championship season, arguably the best batting order in the sport, and more than enough pitching if everyone stayed relatively healthy, Los Angeles was supposed to dominate. Instead, Dodger Blue is feeling quite blue heading into their series at rival San Francisco. L.A. has lost six in a row, and their vaunted, star-studded offense has touched home plate a grand total of 10 times in half a dozen contests. What this proves is that no matter how good a player or group of players are, baseball has a way of making the best look very human. Manager Dave Roberts’ relievers need the All-Star break. They have surrendered 29 runs in just over 30 innings in this morbid stretch. While those are horrific numbers of runs to allow for any bullpen, the starting pitching isn’t helping. Due to injury and other aspects, Roberts has used these names as starters, Emmet Sheehan, Ben Casparius, Lou Trivino, Jack Dreyer since June 24. All but Sheehan are bullpen pitchers, which means probably at least six innings from the pen that day. Now, include Shohei Ohtani is at two to three innings, Yoshinobu Yamamoto is on a strict five full days’ rest regimen, and Clayton Kershaw is no longer automatic, so if the Dodgers don’t score, it’s hard to cover ranking #23 in runs allowed. The Dodgers are now -7.9 units for betting despite a 56-38 record.

Is Toronto For Real?

The Blue Jays saw their 10-game win streak snapped by the White Sox in Chicago, 2-1, yet should reach the All-Star break in first place in the AL East, as long as they win at least one time in Sacramento. Toronto is not impressive by the numbers. They are run-of-the-mill in most team stats, with their most impressive figure #9 in the lowest bullpen ERA. Where the Jays have stood out in games determined by two or three runs, with a 20-7 mark. For the large majority of those contests, they ran up 4-to-6 runs, and they received good pitching from the staff on those days. Toronto does have the 3^rd-best record in the AL, yet is only #7 in run differential, which is cause for pause. It’s best to take a wait-and-see look at the Blue Jays, because after the break, they will have the Giants and Yankees at home, plus four battles at Detroit.

Prop Department

Here is something to consider. Some betting sites have this prop: Will Team X bat in the bottom of the ninth inning – Yes or No? If you like a home team to win, what makes this attractive is that you can almost always get better odds on a NO bet than a money line on the same team. The benefit is that if you lose, it cuts your losses, or you can get plus odds (+) compared to minus (-) for the same team. Take a gander.

Rockies Watch

Colorado was 1-5 in the last week, with their lone triumph coming against the worst club in the AL, the White Sox. If you are a glass-half-full type of person, the Rockies did pick up a game in the standings against the Dodgers and are only 34.5 games back. These losses have sent the Rocks to -35.2 units, the worst in MLB, with Atlanta in hot pursuit at -34.6. Colorado will wrap up the road trip in the Queen City of Cincinnati. Afterward, they will be off for four days, where they surely will not lose a game.

Baseball Betting Angles to Follow This Weekend

*Pittsburgh is 0-9 vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.20 or lower. *N.Y. Mets are 2-9 as a road favorite of -125 to -175. *Washington is on an 11-1 OVER run vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times in the second half of the season. *San Francisco is 10-1 UNDER at home, having won three of their last four games. *LUIS SEVERINO of the A’s is 0-7 on the run line when the total is 10 or higher. *PAUL SKENES of the Pirates is 8-1 in away starts on the run line vs teams who strand 6.9 or fewer runners on base per game. Get more MLB betting advice from Doug Upstone here and purchase Doug’s Premium picks here.