Week 14 NFL Odds, Updates and Free Picks
Now that we hit December, it is go-time for all the NFL playoff contenders and those seeking high seeds. With this, we break down the beginning of the week’s Line Moves. As always, return for the updates and our Free Picks, which are on a 27-14 run.
Washington at Minnesota – Spread -1.5 | Sun, Dec 7 | 1:00 PM ET | FOX
It’s a little surprising that this NFC clash of two teams going nowhere would see line movement. At this time, the quarterback situation for
both teams is up in the air, with both Jayden Daniels and J.J. McCarthy – questionable. One likely factor for Minnesota sliding from -2.5 to -1.5 is how bad they looked playing third-string Max Brosmer. The Vikings were shutout 26-0, gaining 162 total yards, with five turnovers. It’s impossible to have a strong opinion on this contest until we know who is under center for both clubs.
Bet Percentage: Vikings 60%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
Pittsburgh at Baltimore – Total 43 | Sun, Dec 7 | 1:00 PM ET | CBS
With Baltimore giving the ball away five times to Cincinnati, at home no less, and Pittsburgh’s offense looking like one of coach Chuck Noll’s 1970s Super Bowl squads (at current age), the total has spiraled downward from 47.5 to 43. Aaron Rodgers has stayed too long, playing on a club with limited offensive options, including his own. For those who thought Baltimore was 100% back after its 1-5 start, guess again after last week’s horrific showing. Nonetheless, these are the two top teams in the AFC North. This series has a long history of low-scoring games, with the latest run 8-1 UNDER.
Bet Percentage: UNDER 93%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
Indianapolis at Jacksonville – Spread +1.5 | Sun, Dec 7 | 1:00 PM ET | CBS
With Indianapolis losing three of four and Jacksonville performing the opposite by winning three of four, these AFC South rivals are knotted up at 8-4 atop the division. This is the first of two battles this month, and the Colts are falling road favorites, down a digit to -1.5. Indy has scored 20 or fewer points in three of its past four contests. Conversely, Jacksonville is averaging 29.2 PPG in its last five showings. The Jaguars are 8-1 SU hosting the Colts since 2016.
Bet Percentage: Jaguars 71%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
New Orleans at Tampa Bay – Spread -9 | Sun, Dec 7 | 1:00 PM ET | CBS
Tampa Bay was 0-4 ATS in November with a single victory. The Buccaneers are only one game ahead of Carolina in the NFC South, and they will meet twice in the final three contests. The Bucs need Baker Mayfield to rekindle his early-season magic, and the defense has to begin making stops. Being able to blast New Orleans would help. NFL bettors believe that it is possible, as the home teams now sits at -9 after opening at -7.5. Know this: the Saints have covered four in a row in West Florida.
Bet Percentage: Buccaneers 95%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
Houston at Kansas City – Spread -3 | Sun, Dec 7 | 8:20 PM ET | NBC
Kansas City at 6-6 is #10 in the AFC, two games back of the last Wild Card slot with five contests remaining. The Chiefs understand they have to finish 5-0 and find enough help to squeak into the postseason. One team ahead of them is Houston, which has the #1 defense in the NFL, along with its starting QB, C.J. Stroud, who has regained his confidence. K.C. was sent out at -5.5, which did not hold up, now at -3. The Texans are 7-2 since their 0-3 start, and if they win this massive matchup, they have the Cardinals and Raiders next at home. An all-in encounter.
Bet Percentage: Chiefs 66%
Doug’s Pick – Back Friday
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