BIO:
Rich Green is the editor of http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com
,
a free sports handicapping and information service.
He has been a top ranked handicapper for over 30 years. He specializes in Football, Basketball and
Baseball, all the major sports, and has won numerous
contests in each.
Sunday September 7
3*** Under 44 Total Points,
Kansas City at NEW ENGLAND (NFL Football, 1 et) (Weather)
We are excited
about another winning Gold
Key Football Season. We have Gold Key
Baseball
and Football Specials starting as low as $44 on site! If you can find a better value, please
take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free injury
reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can
login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Plays
in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling
you. Here is today's Free Column release on NFL Football.
The Chiefs of
the AFC West Division disappeared from the radar screen last year, and lost
their last nine events in a row Straight Up. They have 15 rookies on their
roster to start the 2008 season, including DT Dorsey under their third-year Head
Coach Herm Edwards. The Chiefs will start Quarterback Croyle this
afternoon, and look to improve on the League's worst Offense. Trends
favoring the Under in Chiefs events include 15-10 Under Against The Spread in
Conference Play, and 24-11 Under ATS versus the AFC East Division.
The
AFC Champion Patriots look to make amends after last year's Super Bowl
debacle. But they are the League's best team this century under their
long-tenured Head Coach Bill Belichick, were 16-0 SU in the regular season in
2007, and certainly must be respected. The Pats will start Quarterback
Brady once again, and hope he is completely recovered from leg injuries.
While the Pats started last season on a 10-2 Over ATS run, this event can be
lower-scoring than expected in a fresh year. 11 of 19 Home events went
under the Posted Total for the Pats the past three seasons.
The Totals line
opened at 46 and has been dropping. We'll go with the Under here today in a Good Free Play. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on
the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Plays.
Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well
as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and
check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Plays
on site as well.
--Rich Green
Editor@FreeSportsLetter.com
http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com
Monday September 1
3*** Fresno State +4.5 Over
RUTGERS (NCAA Football, 4 et) (Weather)
(WINNER, OUTRIGHT)
We are excited
about another winning Gold
Key Football Season. We have Gold Key
Baseball
and Football Specials starting as low as $44 on site! If you can find a better value, please
take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free injury
reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can
login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Plays
in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling
you. Here is today's Free Column release on NCAA Football.
The Bulldogs
of the Western Athletic Conference won the Humanitarian Bowl to cap a 9-4 season
last year for their 12th-year Head Coach Pat Hill. They are returning 51
Lettermen including Bowl MVP Quarterback Tom Brandstater. This game can be
closer than expected between two promising teams. Positive trends for the
Bulldogs today include 4-1 Against The Spread as Road Dogs and 3-1 ATS in
non-Conference Play last year.
The
Scarlet Knights of the Big East Conference under their long-tenured Head Coach
Greg Schiano won the International Bowl last year and went 8-5. They lost
Running Back Ray Rice to graduation, but return Quarterback Mike Teel. The
Knights have been to three straight Bowl events, winning and covering the last
two, and must be respected. Last year they lost games to foes Maryland,
Cincinnati, West Virginia, UConn and Louisville.
The line
opened at Scarlet Knights -6 and figures to drop. We'll take those points and the Road
Bulldogs to cover for us
here today in a Good Free Play. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on
the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Plays.
Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well
as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and
check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Plays
on site as well.
--Rich Green
Editor@FreeSportsLetter.com
http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com
Friday August 29
3*** Denver +3 Over ARIZONA
(NFL Pre-Season Football, 10 et) (Dome)
(WINNER, OUTRIGHT)
We are excited
about another winning Gold
Key Football Season. We have Gold Key
Baseball
and Football Specials starting as low as $44 on site! If you can find a better value, please
take it! You are welcome to stop by our site daily for free injury
reports, live lines, scores, gambling articles, contests, etc. You can
login daily to get your Top Rated Gold Key Plays
in Football, Basketball and Baseball without anyone disturbing or calling
you. Here is tonight's Free Column release on NFL Pre-Season Football.
The Broncos of
the AFC West under their long-tenured Head Coach Mike Shanahan look to return to
the Playoffs after a two year absence. Quarterback Cutler has been sharp
during the recent Exhibition events. The Broncos have been mostly
injury-free during the Pre-Season, and have not had back-to-back losing seasons
in 36 years. Positive trends in the Pre-Season include 8-0 Against The
Spread in Game Four, and 12-2 ATS off a Straight Up Favorite loss.
The
Cardinals of the NFC West under their second-year Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt look
to improve again after last year's Even Stephen 8-8 SU record. Quarterback
Warner will start this event, and he may end up being their Number One QB over
Matt Leinart. The Cardinals will need to improve their Road Play if they
are to have their second winning season over the past 24 years.
The line
opened at Cardinals -3. We'll take those points and the Road Broncos to cover for us
here
tonight in a Good Free Play. For those who don't know it, our Members rarely wager on
the FREE release, and instead invest their money wisely on the Gold Key Plays.
Make sure to stop by the FreeSportsLetter.com site for more FREE Winners as well
as Football, Basketball and Baseball wagering information. Visit us and
check out the stronger Top Rated Gold Key Plays
on site as well.
--Rich Green
Editor@FreeSportsLetter.com
http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com
| 2008 NCAA and NFL Football
Wagering Tips
Emotion— The
most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't
statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion.
Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll
cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports.
But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL
Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting
their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion.
Such Coaches as Bobby Bowden, Pete Carroll, Phillip Fulmer, Tom O'Brien,
Urban Meyer, and Bill Belichick among others have all shown their worth in
this area over the years.
Sandwich Games— Be
careful of ‘sandwich' games. That is the game for a team that's in
between two other more important games. The NFL split into different
Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we
have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of
four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West.
So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past
with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the
Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing
team.
If Tennessee for example, early in the
season, plays Indianapolis this week and Jacksonville in two weeks, you
know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games.
But if the in-between game is against say Arizona, a lesser out of
Conference team, be careful! Tennessee will have most likely played
a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the
following week. Starters may be pulled early against Arizona, and
those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one.
Too many bettors jump on a team that has
been covering on the ‘sandwich' game, laying way too much ‘wood'.
The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off
of Tennessee the following week against Jacksonville because the bettor
got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!
Line Movement— Sometimes line
movement means nothing,
and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite
recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move ½ to one point with
me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me.
When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a
dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information
such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for
giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport.
Quite often with big line movement in the
NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final
line. This opens the door for ‘middlers', those who bet early one
way and late the other way on the same game. I know several gamblers
who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it.
They give up the 10% ‘juice' in hopes of winning both ways. The
most they can lose is 5% of their total bet. They clean up if one
play pushes or wins and the other play wins.
NCAA football can be different though. With
so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on.
For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team
that got the most line movement during the week won every single game
those years. Every week! For games like these with fewer
wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it
can move even more. Beware of betting against this line movement, it
generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against
consistent and massive line movement in one direction.
Here's wishing all Football bettors a great
2008 Football Wagering Season! Make sure to stop by the http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com
site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and
more importantly, FREE Winners!
--Rich Green
Editor@FreeSportsLetter.com
http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com
|
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