Kansas City +6.5 @ Jacksonville

Wow, The Jags favored by almost TD against anyone is quite a shock. The Jacksonville defense made Vince Young form 0-6 Tennessee last week look like a legit NFL starter at QB! The Jags have a system to where they play to the level of the team they are playing and then get beat. Not the Jack Del Rio coached Jags of previous years editions. Kansas City is no juggernaut on offense but the suspension of Larry Johnson who has managed under 3 yards a carry this season, actually is a good thing in my opinion, because Jamal Charles is better at things head coach Todd Haley wants to do on offense. He has speed and an ability to break tackles and catch out of the backfield. He also is not at odds with his teammates either, which is a huge plus for the Chiefs who are in desperate need of a win.

Kansas City is off a bye week, and healthy. Matt Cassel at QB has had little time to impress this year throwing the ball, because he has no OL to block for him. With a weak Jags front 5, and an even weaker pass rush (last in the NFL), look for KC to be able to move the chains on offense and balance their attack. Kansas City’s only win this year was on the road against Washington with the same line as this one, and they managed that win without a TD. Look for KC to score points here and trade punches on offense and keep this one within 3 points.

Jacksonville 23 KC 20 (an outright win by KC would not shock me)

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